Welcome to the Forecasting the Long term Ecological and Demographic impacts of Global Environmental changes (FLEDGE) Lab

Understanding how environmental changes and human activities affect wildlife populations is a central challenge in ecology. Our research explores how past and present responses to environmental variability shape the future of species and ecosystems.

We focus on long-lived seabirds breeding in the Southern Ocean—key indicators of ocean health and environmental change. By combining field data, ecological modeling, and evolutionary theory, we study how changes in the environment influence individual phenotype (e.g., foraging behaviors), vital rates (e.g., survival and reproduction), and population dynamics.

Our approach is interdisciplinary, integrating ecology, climate science, demography, and evolutionary biology. We aim to understand the limits of adaptation, the role of individual differences, and the predictability of ecological responses to global change.

This work supports evidence-based conservation and contributes to science-informed policy on biodiversity and ecosystem resilience.