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Publications

Jenouvrier, S., La Rue, M., Trathan, P. and Barbraud, C., 2023. Emperor Penguins on Thin Sea Ice. Frontiers for Young Minds, 11, pp.1052262-1.

DuVivier A., Molina M., Holland M., Landrum L., Krumhardt K. and Jenouvrier S. 2023. Projections of Winter Polynyas and Their Biophysical Impacts in the Ross Sea Antarctica. Climate Dynamics, 1-24. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-023-06951-z

Bourreau L., Pauthenet E., Le Ster L., Picard B., Portela E., Sallée J.B., McMahon C.R., Harcourt R., Hindell M., Guinet C., Bestley S., Charrassin J-B., DuVivier A., Sylvester Z., Krumhardt K., Jenouvrier S., Labrousse S. 2023. First description of in situ chlorophyll fluorescence signal within East Antarctic coastal polynyas during fall and winter. Frontiers in Marine Science, 10: 1186403. DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2023.1186403

Labrousse S., Nerini D., Fraser A-D., Salas L., Sumner M., Le Manach F., Jenouvrier S., Iles D., LaRue M. 2023. Where to live? Landfast sea ice shapes the presence of emperor penguin colonies around Antarctica. Sciences Advances, 9, eadg834. DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adg8340

Gamelon M., Jenouvrier S., Lindner M., Saether B-E, Visser M-E. Detecting climate signals cascading through levels of biological organization. Nature Climate Change,  13:985–989. DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01760-y

Van de Walle J., Fay R., Gaillard J.-M., Barbraud C., Delord K., Gamelon, M. [...], and Jenouvrier S. 2023. Individual life histories: neither slow nor fast, just diverse. Proc. R. Soc. B 290: 20230511.DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2023.0511

Şen B., Che-Castaldo C., Krumhardt K., Landrum L., Holland M., Long M., LaRue M., Jenouvrier S., Lynch H. 2023. Intrinsic predictability as an indicator for spatio-temporal transferability of population dynamics. Ecological Indicators, 150:110239. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110239

Lee J.L., Terauds A., Carwardine J., Shaw J.D., Fuller R.A., Possingham H.P., Chown S.L., Convey P., Gilbert N., Hughes K.A, McIvor E., Robinson S.A., Ropert-Coudert Y., Bergstrom D.M., Biersma E.M., Christian C., Cowan D.A, Frenot Y., Jenouvrier S., Kelley L., Lee M.J., Lynch H., Njåstad B, Roura R.M., Shaw E.A., Stanwell-Smith D., Tsujimoto M., Quesada A., Wall D.H., Wilmotte A., Chadès I. 2022. Threat management priorities for conserving Antarctic biodiversity. PLoS Biol, 20(12): e3001921. DOI:10.1371/journal.pbio.3001921.

Sun R. , Van de Walle J., Patrick S.C., Barbraud C., Weimerskirch H., Delord K., Jenouvrier S. 2022. Boldness predicts divorce rates in wandering albatrosses (Diomedea exulans). Biology Letters, 18: 20220301. DOI: 10.1098/rsbl.2022.0301.

Jenouvrier S., Aubry L., Van Daalen S., Barbraud C., Weimerskirch H. and Caswell H. 2022.  When the going gets tough, the tough get going: effect of extreme climate on an Antarctic seabird’s life history. Ecology Letters, 25: 2120-2131. DOI:10.1111/ele.14076.

Fay R. , Hamel S., van de Pol M., Gaillard J.M., Yoccoz N.G., Acker P., Authier M., Larue B., Le Coeur C., Macdonald K.R., Nicol-Harper A., Barbraud C., Bonenfant C., Van Vuren D.H., Cam ., Delord K., Gamelon M., Moiron M., Pelletier F., Rotella J., Teplitsky C., Visser M.E, Wells C.P., Wheelwright N.T., Jenouvrier S.†, Sæther B.E.† 2022. Temporal correlations among demographic parameters are ubiquitous but highly variable across species. Ecology Letters, 25:1640–1654. DOI: 10.1111/ele.14026

Sun R. , Barbraud C., Weimerskirch H., Delord K., Patrick S.C., Caswell H., Jenouvrier S. 2022. Causes and life history consequences of pair-bond disruption in a ­­sex-skewed population of a long-lived monogamous seabird. Ecological Monographs, 92:e1522. DOI: 10.1002/ecm.1522

Jenouvrier S., Long M., Coste C.F.D, Holland M., Gamelon M., Yoccoz N.G., Sæther B-E. 2021.  Detecting climate signals in populations across life histories. Global Change Biology, 28: 2236-2258. DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16041 - data set: DOI: 10.15784/601491

Youngflesh C. , Li Y., Lynch H.J, Delord K., Barbraud C., Ji R., Jenouvrier S. 2021. Lack of synchronized breeding success in a seabird community: extreme events, niche separation, and environmental variability. Oikos, 130: 1943–1953. DOI: 10.1111/oik.08426.

Visser M.E., Lindner M., Gienapp P., Long M., Jenouvrier S. 2021. Recent natural variability in global warming weakened phenological mismatch and selection on seasonal timing in great tits (Parus major). 2021. Proc. R. Soc. B, 288: 20211337. DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2021.1337

Lavoie M. , Jenouvrier S., Blanchette P., Larivière S., Tremblay J-P. Extreme climate events limit northern range expansion of wild turkeys. 2021. Oecologia, 197:633–650 DOI: 10.1007/s00442-021-05055-x

Fay R. , Authier M., Hamel H., Jenouvrier S., van de Pol M., Cam E., Gaillard J-M., Yoccoz N.G., Acker A., Allen A., Aubry L.M., Bonenfant C., Caswell H., Coste C.F.D, Larue B., Le Cœur C., Gamelon M., MacDonald K.R., Moiron M., Nicol-Harper A., Pelletier F., Rotella J., Teplitsky C., Touzot L., Wells C., Sæther B-E. 2021. Quantifying fixed individual heterogeneity in demographic parameters: Performance of correlated random effects for Bernoulli variables. Methods in Ecology and Evolution,13: 91-104. DOI: 10.1111/2041-210X.13728.

Labrousse, S. , Iles, D., LaRue, M., Viollat, L., Fretwell, P., Trathan, P.N., Zitterbart, D.P., Jenouvrier, S. 2021. Quantifying the causes and consequences of variation in satellite-derived population indices: a case study of emperor penguins. In Early View for Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation. DOI: 10.1002/rse2.233.

Jenouvrier S., Che-Castaldo J.,  Wolf  S., Holland M., Labrousse S., LaRue M., Wienecke  B., Fretwell P., Barbraud C., Greenwald N., Stroeve J.,  Trathan P.N. 2021. The call of the emperor penguin: legal responses to species threatened by climate change. Global Change Biology, 27: 5008-5029, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15806.

Labrousse S., Fraser A., Sumner M., Le Manach F., Sauser C., Horstmann I., Devane E., Delord K., Jenouvrier S., † and Christophe B†. 2021. Landfast ice: a major driver of reproductive success in a polar seabird. Biology Letter, 7: 20210097 https://doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2021.0097

Nisbet I.T.C, Iles D., Kaneb A., Mostello C.S, Jenouvrier S. 2020. Breeding performance of Common Terns (Sterna hirundo) does not decline among older age classes, The Auk., 137

Iles D., Lynch H., Ji R., Barbraud C., Delord K., Jenouvrier S. 2020. Sea ice predicts long-term trends in Adélie penguin population growth, but not annual fluctuations: results from a range-wide multi-scale. Global Change Biology, 26:3788–3798.

Jenouvrier S., Iles D., Labrousse S., Landrum L., Garnier J., Caswell H., Barbraud C., Weimerskirch H., LaRue M., Ji R., Holland M. 2020. The Paris Agreement objectives might halt future declines of emperor penguins. Global Change Biology, 26: 1170-1184.

Trathan P.N., Wienecke B., Barbraud C., Jenouvrier S.,  Kooyman G., Le Bohec C., Ainley D.G., Ancel A., Zitterbart D.P, Chown S.L.,  LaRue M., Cristofari R., Younger J., Clucas G., Bost C.A,  Brown J.A., Gillett H.J., Fretwell P.T. 2020. The emperor penguin - vulnerable to projected rates of warming and sea ice loss.  Biological Conservation, 108216.

Pacoureau N., Delord. K, Jenouvrier S.  and Barbraud C. 2019. Demographic and population responses of an apex predator to climate and its prey: a long‐term study of south polar skuas. Ecological Monographs, 89: e01388.

Guery L., Descamps S., Hodges K., Pradel R., Moe B., Hanssen S., Erikstad K-E, Gabrielsen G., Gilchrist G., Jenouvrier S. and Bety J. 2019. Winter extra-tropical cyclones influence seabird survival: variation between and within common eider populations. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 627: 155-170

Labrousse S., Fraser A., Sumner M., Tamura T., Pinaud D., Wienecke B., Kirkwood R., Ropert-Coudert Y., Reisinger R., Jonsen I., Porter-Smith R., Barbraud C., Bost C., Ji R., Jenouvrier S. Dynamic fine-scale sea-icescape shapes adult emperor penguin foraging habitat in East Antarctica.  Geophysical Research Letter, 46: 11206-11218.

Ropert-Coudert Y., Chiaradia A., Ainley D.G., Barbosa A., Brasso R. ,D.M., Ellenberg U., Emmerson L., Hickcox R.,, Jenouvrier S., McIntosh R., Lewis P., Ramírez F., Ruoppolo V., Ryan P.G., Seddon P.J., Sherley R.B., Vanstreels R., Waller L., Woehler E., and Trathan P.N., 2019. Happy Feet in a hostile world? The future of penguins depends on proactive management of current and predictable threats. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6:248.

Iles D. and Jenouvrier S.  2019. Projected population consequences of climate change.  Chapter 12 in  “Effects of climate change on birds”, edited by Moller A. and Dunn P.O. Oxford University Press.

Labrousse S., Orgeret F., Solow A., Barbraud C., Bost C., Sallée J.B., Weimerskirch H., and Jenouvrier S. 2019. First odyssey beneath the sea ice of juvenile emperor penguins in East Antarctica. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 60:1-16.

Youngflesh C., Jenouvrier S., Hinke J.T., DuBois L., St. Leger J., Trivelpiece S.G, Trivelpiece W.Z. and Lynch H.J. 2018. Rethinking normal: Synchrony-enhanced stochasticity in the breeding phenology of a colonial seabird. Journal of Animal Ecology, y, 87(3): 682-690.

Desprez M., Jenouvrier S., Barbraud C., Delord K. and Weimerskirch H. 2018. Linking climate conditions, migratory schedule and foraging behaviors during the non-breeding season to the reproductive performance in a long-lived seabird. Functional ecology, 32(8):2040-2053.

Jenouvrier S., Desprez M., Fay R., Barbraud C., Delord K., Weimerskirch H. and Caswell H. 2018b. Climate change and functional traits impact population dynamics of a long-lived seabird. Invited manuscript for the Special Issue "Linking organismal functions, life history strategies and population performance". Journal of Animal Ecology, 87: 906.

Borowicz A., McDowall P., Youngflesh C., Sayre-McCord T., Clucas G., Herman R., Forrest S., Rider M., Schwaller M., Hart T., Jenouvrier S., Polito M., Singh H. and Lynch H.J. 2018. Multi-modal survey of Adélie penguin mega-colonies reveals the Danger Islands as a seabird hotspot. Scientific Reports, 8(1): 3926.

Jenouvrier S., Aubry L., Barbraud C., Weimerskirch H. and Caswell H. 2018a. Interacting effects of unobserved heterogeneity and individual stochasticity in the life history of the Southern fulmar. Journal of Animal Ecology, 87(1):  212-222.

Che-Castaldo C., Jenouvrier S., Youngflesh C., Shoemaker K., Humphries G., McDowall P., Landrum L., Holland M., Li Y., Ji R. and Lynch H. 2017. Pan-Antarctic analysis reveals the importance of stochastic forcing for Adélie penguins: How noisy is too noisy for adaptive management? Nature Communications, 8(1): 832

Jenouvrier S., Garnier J., Patout F. and Desvillettes L. 2017. Influence of dispersal processes on the global dynamics of Emperor penguin, a species threatened by climate change. Biological Conservation, 212: 63-73.

Pardo D., Jenouvrier S., Weimerskirch H. and Barbraud C. 2017. Effect of extreme sea surface temperature events on the demography of an age-structured albatross population. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, 372(723): 20160143.

van de Pol M., Jenouvrier S., Cornelissen J.H.C. and Visser M. 2017. Ecological and evolutionary response to extreme climatic events: challenges and research directions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. 372(723): 20160134.

Cornioley T., Jenouvrier S., Börger L., Weimerskirch H. and Ozgul A. 2017. Fathers matter: Male body mass affects life-history traits in a size dimorphic seabird. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B. 284 (1854): 20170397.

Youngflesh C., Jenouvrier S., Li Y., Ji R., Ainley D.G., Ballard G., Barbraud C., Delord K., Dugger K.M., Emmerson L.M., Fraser W.R., Hinke J.T., Lyver P.O’B., Olmastroni S., Southwell C.J., Trivelpiece S.G, Trivelpiece W.Z. and Lynch H.J. 2017. Circumpolar analysis of the Adélie penguin reveals the importance of environmental variability in phenological mismatch. Ecology, 98(4): 940-951.

Stroeve J., Jenouvrier S., Campbell G.G., Barbraud C. and Delord K. 2016. Mapping and assessing variability in the Antarctic marginal ice zone, pack ice and coastal polynyas in two sea ice algorithms with implications on breeding success of snow petrels. The Cryosphere, 10:1823-184.

Li Y., Ji R., Jenouvrier S., Jin M. and Stroeve J. 2016. Synchronicity between ice retreat and phytoplankton bloom in circum-Antarctic polynyas. Geophysical Research Letter, 43(5): 2086-2093.

Jenouvrier S., Peron C. and Weimerskirch H. 2015. Extreme climate events and individual heterogeneity shape life history traits and population dynamics. Ecological Monographs, 85: 605-624.

Karnauskas K.B., Jenouvrier S., Brown C.W. and Murtugudde R. 2015. Strong sea surface cooling in the eastern equatorial Pacific and implications for Galápagos Penguin conservation. Geophysical Research Letters. 42: 6432–6437.

Ballerini T., Tavechia G., Pezzo F., Jenouvrier S. and Olmastroni S. 2015. Predicting responses of the Adélie penguin population of Edmonson Point to future sea ice changes in the Ross Sea. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 3:1-8.

Jenouvrier S., Holland M., Stroeve J., Barbraud C., Weimerskirch H., Serreze M. and Caswell H. 2014. Projected continent-wide declines of the emperor penguin under climate change. Nature Climate Change, 4: 715-718.

Jenouvrier S. Impacts of climate change on avian populations. 2013. Global Change Biology, 19: 2036–2057.

Reed T., Grotan V., Jenouvrier S., Saether B.-E. and Visser M. 2013 Population growth in a wild bird is buffered against negative effects of phenological mismatch. Science, 340: 488-491.

Reed T., Jenouvrier S. and Visser M. 2013 Phenological mismatch strongly affects individual fitness but not population demography in a woodland passerine. Journal of Animal Ecology, 82:131-144.

Jenouvrier S., Holland M., Stroeve J., Barbraud C., Weimerskirch H., Shoemaker M. and Caswell H. 2012. Effects of climate change on an emperor penguin population: analysis of coupled demographic and climate models. Global Change Biology 18: 2756–2770.

Barbraud C., Rolland V., Jenouvrier S., Nevoux M., Delord K. and Weimerskirch H. 2012. Southern Ocean seabirds, climate change and fisheries: a review. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 454: 285–307.

Descamps S., Jenouvrier S., Gilchrist H.G. and Forbes M.R. 2012. Avian cholera, a threat to the viability of an arctic seabird colony? PLoS ONE, 7(2): e29659.

Jenouvrier S. and Visser M. 2011. Climate change, phenological shifts, eco-evolutionary responses and population viability: toward a unifying predictive approach. Journal of Biometeorology, 458: 1-15.

Jenouvrier S., Caswell H., Barbraud C. and Weimerskirch H. 2010. Mating behavior, population growth and the operational sex ratio: a periodic two-sex model approach. American Naturalist, 175: 739–752.

Ainley D., Russell J., Jenouvrier S., Woehler E., Lyvers P., Fraser W. and Kooyman G. 2010. Antarctic penguin response to habitat change as Earth's troposphere nears 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. Ecological Monographs, 80: 49–66.

Jenouvrier S., Barbraud C., Weimerskirch H. and Caswell H. 2009. Limitation of population recovery: a stochastic approach to the case of emperor penguin. Oikos, 118: 1292-1298.

Igual M., Tavecchia G., Jenouvrier S., Forero M. and Oro D. 2009. Buying years to extinction: is compensatory mitigation for marine bycatch a sufficient conservation measure for seabirds? PLoS One, 4:e4826.

Jenouvrier S., Caswell H., Barbraud C., Holland M., Stroeve J., Weimerskirch H. 2009. Demographic models and IPCC climate projections predict the decline of an emperor penguin population. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 106: 1844-1847

Jenouvrier S., Thibault J.C., Viallefont A., Vidal P., Ristow D., Mougin J.L., Brichetti P., Borg J.J. and Bretagnolle V. 2009. Global climate patterns explain range-wide synchronicity in survival of a migratory seabird. Global Change Biology, 14:1-12.

Cazelles B., Chavez M., Berteaux D., Ménard F., Vik J.O., Jenouvrier S. and Stenseth N.C. 2008. Wavelet analysis of ecological time series. Oecologia, 156: 287-304.

Jenouvrier S., Thibault J.C., Tavechia G., Choquet R. and Bretagnolle V. 2008. Recruitment processes in long-lived species with delayed maturity: estimating key demographic parameters. Oikos, 117: 620-628.

Thibault, J-C. and Jenouvrier S. 2006. Annual survival rates of adult male Corsican Nuthatches. Ringing and migration, 23: 85-88.

Jenouvrier S. and Boulinier T. 2006. Estimation of local extinction rates when species detectability covaries with extinction probability: is it a problem? Oikos, 113: 132-138.

Jenouvrier S., Barbraud C. and Weimerskirch H. 2006. Sea ice affects the population dynamics of Adélie penguins in Terre Adélie. Polar Biology, 1432-2056.

Poisbleau M., Jenouvrier S. and Fritz H. 2006. Use of dominance scores for assigning an individual rank in hierarchy. Animal Behaviour, 72: 835-843.

Jenouvrier S., Barbraud C. and Weimerskirch H. 2005. Long-term contrasted responses to climate of two Antarctic seabird species. Ecology, 86:2889-2903.

Jenouvrier S., Weimerskirch H., Barbraud C., Park Y-H. and Cazelles B. 2005. Evidence of a shift in cyclicity of Antarctic seabird dynamics link to climate. Proceedings of the Royal Society, 272: 887-895.

Gimenez O., Barbraud C., Crainiceanu C., Jenouvrier S. and Morgan B.J.T. 2005. Semiparametric regression in capture-recapture modeling. Biometrics, 62: 691-698.

Jenouvrier S., Barbraud C., Cazelles B. and Weimerskirch H. 2005. Modelling population dynamics of seabirds: importance of the effects of climate fluctuations on breeding proportions. Oikos, 108: 511-522.

Jenouvrier S., Barbraud C. and Weimerskirch H. 2003. Effects of climate variability on the temporal population dynamics of southern fulmars. Journal of Animal Ecology, 72: 576-587.